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Fire Weather for the Northern Gila County Region

National Weather Service Observations:

Click here to enlarge the NWS-Flagstaff Radar Click here to enlarge the NWS IR Satellite View
Radar and IR Views from NWS

(Note: Any links provided here may
not necessarily apply to this portion of Gila County)

NWS Zone Forecast for: Northern Gila County, AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service Flagstaff, AZ
Last Update:
851 AM MST FRI MAY 18 2012

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Red Flag Warning

Rest Of Today...Windy. Not as warm. Mostly sunny. Highs 75 to 85. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
Tonight...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 48. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the evening...becoming light and variable.
Saturday...Mostly sunny. Highs 77 to 87. Light and variable winds.
Saturday Night...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Light and variable winds.
Sunday...Sunny. Highs 83 to 93. Light and variable winds.
Sunday Night...Clear. Lows 46 to 56.
Monday Through Tuesday Night...Mostly clear. Highs 84 to 94. Lows 46 to 56.
Wednesday Through Thursday...Mostly clear. Highs 79 to 88. Lows 45 to 55.


Visit your local NWS office at: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz/


Click here for more local NWS Weather

NOAA Area Forecast Discussion:

FXUS65 KFGZ 180945
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
230 AM MST FRI MAY 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDS OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD BUT LOWER TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS TODAY AND SATURDAY.



.DISCUSSION... A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COOL FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH AXIS/FRONT STRONG FLOW WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA ALOFT. FOLLOWING SUNRISE AND THE ONSET OF DAYTIME HEATING VERTICAL MIXING OF THE AIR MASS WILL QUICKLY BRING THESE STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE. STRONG WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. AS THE THROUGH AXIS HEADS EASTWARD COULD SEE SOME DECREASE IN WINDS LATE IN THE DAY FROM A PRESCOTT-FLAGSTAFF-PAGE LINE NORTHWESTWARD. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM NORTHWARD. THE WIND WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH AT TIMES FOR AREAS OF BLOWING DUST IN THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND NORTHWARD THROUGH ACROSS THE CHINLE VALLEY. IN ADDITION... JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AND COOLER AIR ALOFT (ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AXIS) WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING THIS AFTERNOON AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM NEAR THE ARIZONA/UTAH BORDER... WHICH WOULD PRODUCE EVEN STRONGER WIND GUSTS.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS EXPECTED. MODELS STILL HINTING THAT SOME MOISTURE COULD MOVE INTO FAR EASTERN ARIZONA ON MONDAY BUT THINK THE INFLUENCE OF DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE TOO STRONG FOR ANYTHING MORE THAN SCATTERED HIGH BASED CUMULUS. HAVE LEFT A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM FOR NOW BUT WITH WESTERLY FLOW DOMINATING THE PATTERN IF WILL BE TOUGH FOR APPRECIABLE MOISTURE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA.

TUESDAY INTO THE END OF NEXT WEEK... FORECAST MODELS SHOW A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES BRUSHING ARIZONA CULMINATING IN STRONGER TROUGHING ALONG THE WEST COAST TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE MAIN IMPACT LOOKS TO BE INCREASING WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG WITH A GRADUAL COOL DOWN TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. COULD EVEN BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE ARIZONA/UTAH BORDER FROM TIME-TO-TIME. ARIZONA COULD END UP UNDER A FAIRLY CLASSIC FIRE WEATHER PATTERN TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK. SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON AS MODELS CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.



.AVIATION... FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE... VERY FAST SW FLOW ALOFT TODAY... WITH 10000 FT MSL WINDS SW 35-45KT... BECOMING WSW AT 25-35 KT AFTER 21Z. AFTER 15Z SFC WINDS SOUTHWEST 15-30 KT TO 45KT. WIND DECREASING AFT 01Z SAT. ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE UT BORDER BTWN 17Z-01Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

.FIRE WEATHER... A DRY COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. 20 FOOT WINDS HAVE REMAINED SOUTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING
WITH POOR RH RECOVERY. 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BY MID MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHLAND AND THE START TIME OF TODAYS RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ADVANCED TO 8 AM MST. ON SATURDAY... WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH MUCH LIGHTER WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LOOK FOR LIGHT WINDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLIES ON TUESDAY.

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY FOR AZZ104>118-
137>140.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM MST FRIDAY FOR AZZ004-006-007.

PUBLIC... ... ... MCCOLLUM
AVIATION... ... .DL
FIRE WEATHER... DL
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

Printable version of the detailed area forecast

NOAA Fire Weather Forecast:


FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
339 AM MST FRI MAY 18 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM MST
FOR ALL OF NORTHERN ARIZONA...

+++ THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS +++

+++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++
+

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY.
20 FOOT WINDS HAVE REMAINED SOUTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING
WITH POOR RH RECOVERY. 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BY
MID MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHLAND AND THE START TIME OF TODAYS RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ADVANCED TO 8 AM MST. ON SATURDAY...WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH MUCH LIGHTER WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LOOK FOR LIGHT
WINDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY.

AZZ118-190100-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG
339 AM MST FRI MAY 18 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-90 BELOW 5000 FEET...75-85 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
MPH.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-49 BELOW 5000 FEET...36-46 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-57 PERCENT BELOW 5000 FEET...46-66 PERCENT
ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
10000 FT MSL WIND...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-91 BELOW 5000 FEET...75-85 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS.
10000 FT MSL WIND...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS 85 TO 95. LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 88 TO 98. LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 84 TO 94. LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.



Printable version of the Fire Weather Forecast

Fire Weather forecasts for all the surrounding areas
(clickable interactive map)

Fire Weather Graphics:

Red Flag Warning and Fire Weather Watch locations

Fire Danger adjective ratings

10-hour Fuel Moisture

100-hour Fuel Moisture

1000-hour Fuel Moisture

Tonto National Forest web-site

Fire and forest closure Information

Newsroom

SouthWest Coordination Center web-site

Incident Information

Large fire locator map

Morning Briefings

News and notes

Team and crew status

Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Pleasant Valley

Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Heber

Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Globe

Areawide Fire Weather Summary and Outlooks

GeoMac Online Fire Mapping

 

Local Observations:

Current LOCAL observations:

As of 3:44am on 11/5/11
Outside Temperature:
Comfort Index:
Winds:
Today's High:
Today's Lo:
Wind Chill / Heat Index::
Humidity:
Lo Humidity:
High Humidity:
Dewpoint:
Dewpoint Lo / Hi:
Wind Speed / Avg:
Wind Gusts:
Prevailing Wind Dir:
Barometer:
Rain Total Today:
Rain Last 24 Hours:
33.1°F
Cool
Calm
45.1°F at 12:00am
33.1°F at 3:04am
33.1°F / 39.0°F
92%
79% at 12:29am
92% at 3:15am
31.0°F
30.5°F / 40.4°F
0 / 2 mph from the N
4 (up to 24)
0°
17.72 (Steady, 0.000)
0.39 inches
1.02 inches

Almanac

Sunrise:
Sunset:
Moonrise:
Moonset:
Moon Phase:
6:49am
5:29pm
2:38pm
2:12am
10

Yesterday

Low Temperature:
High Temperature:
Low Humidity :
High Humidity:
Low Dewpoint:
High Dewpoint:
Wind Directions:
High Wind  Speed
High Wind Gusts:
33.1°F at 4:54am
63.9°F at 1:13pm
21% at 1:28pm
91% at 10:07pm
17.9°F at 1:05am
43.7°F at 10:07pm
0° to 357°
24 at 11:57pm
24 at 11:57pm

This Month

Low Temperature:
High Temperature:
Low Humidity :
High Humidity:
Low Dewpoint:
High Dewpoint:
Prevailing Wind Dir:
Average Wind  Speed
Average Wind Gusts:
Rain Total:
28.2°F on 11/3/11
76.8°F on 11/1/11
10% on 11/1/11
92% on 11/5/11
2.2°F on 11/2/11
43.7°F on 11/4/11
0°
3
7
1.02 inches

More local charts and statistics for Christopher Creek
provided by the Weather Underground:

This Week
This month
Past 3 months
Past 6 months
This year

Disclaimer
Information may be out of date or inaccurate. Never make important decisions based on this information without full consideration of available information resources.

Local weather observations are brought to you
courtesy of ERA Young Realty..
through their kind donation of weather monitoring instrumentation


(Highway 260 Loop Cam is currently out for service)
Web Cam View from Christopher Creek

Other Regional Observations:

Forest Lakes Weather Station
Heber Overgaard Weather
Mead Ranch Weather Station
Payson Weather

Area-Wide Interactive RAWS Weather Stations (Interactive Map)
NWS Interactive RAWS and SnoTel Stations (Interactive Map - hover mouse over crosshairs to find snowfall)
Precipitation Summary of all Sites
Full Summary of all Sites
  Chediski Peak Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Colcord Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Happy Jack Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  Heber Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  OW Saddle Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Payson Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Pleasant Valley Summary Ranger Station
    Charts and Statistics   Charts and Statistics
  Promontory Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  Red Lake Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Tonto Creek Fish Hatchery Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Workman Creek
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel

Other Weather Information:

NOAA Weather Radio Frequencies and Tower Locations for Arizona

NOAA Discussion on La Ninia an El Nino

Christopher-Kohl's Fire Department