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Fire Weather for the Northern Gila County Region

National Weather Service Observations:

Click here to enlarge the NWS-Flagstaff Radar Click here to enlarge the NWS IR Satellite View
Radar and IR Views from NWS

(Note: Any links provided here may
not necessarily apply to this portion of Gila County)

NWS Forecast for:
Rural Northern Gila County, AZ

Issued by: National Weather Service Flagstaff, AZ

Tonight: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Calm wind becoming south southeast between 4 and 7 mph.

Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 6 mph.

Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southeast wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm.

Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming south southwest between 5 and 8 mph.

Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South southwest wind between 5 and 8 mph becoming calm.

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 85.

Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83.

Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83.

Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84.




Click here for more local NWS Weather

NOAA Area Forecast Discussion:

FXUS65 KFGZ 082230
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
328 PM MST TUE JUL 8 2008

.SYNOPSIS... DRY NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD OFF THE RIM. LATER IN THE WEEK SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN ARIZONA AND AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.



.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE EAST PACIFIC... JUST WEST OF ARIZONA. DRY NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT AND DECREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL RESULT ACROSS FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HOWEVER... PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE GREATEST CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE GREATER TOMORROW OVER THE CHUSKAS AND BLACK MESA DUE TO SLIGHTLY INCREASED INSTABILITY WITH LI`S AROUND -2. ELSEWHERE... GREATER COVERAGE OF CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS WITH LI`S OF -2 TO -4 OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM INTO THE VALLEYS OF YAVAPAI COUNTY. WHILE MID-LEVEL WINDS ARE SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN TODAY... INVERTED V SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRIMARY THREAT TOMORROW WILL BE STRONG WINDS. LATER IN THE WEEK... MODELS SUGGEST A RETURN OF EASTERLY AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW TO ARIZONA ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.13 INCHES FOR FLAGSTAFF AND ABOUT 1.30 INCHES FOR PRESCOTT AND WILLIAMS. ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE... A NUMBER OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH. AS A RESULT... A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND IF THIS PATTERN HOLDS TRUE. INITIALLY... THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY AND ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN ARIZONA OVER THE WEEKEND. A GENERAL RAMPING UP OF POPS ARE THEREFORE REFLECTED IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE GRIDS.



.AVIATION... FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE... ISOLATED AND MOSTLY LIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT 02Z FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AZ INCLUDING YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES. OTHERWISE... MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL BE PREVALENT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. .FIRE WEATHER... SEE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST (FWFFGZ) FOR DISCUSSION OF DAYS 1 AND 2.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO RETURN DURING THE PERIOD RESULTING IN INCREASED DAYTIME THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGHOUT NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE.

PUBLIC... JVC
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER... KD
VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION.

Printable version of the detailed area forecast

NOAA Fire Weather Forecast:


FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
328 PM MST TUE JUL 8 2008

+++ THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS +++

+++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++
+

.DISCUSSION...DRY NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL
CONTINUE WITH MAINLY ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALONG
AND SOUTH THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. LATER IN THE WEEK
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN ARIZONA AND AN INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.


AZZ118-091300-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG
328 PM MST TUE JUL 8 2008

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-75 BELOW 5000 FEET...53-63 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-77 PCT BELOW 5000 FEET...73-93 PCT ABOVE
5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......DOWN 15 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND GUSTY UNTIL
EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
10000 FT MSL WIND...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-102 BELOW 5000 FEET...85-94 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PCT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS.
10000 FT MSL WIND...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-76 BELOW 5000 FEET...55-66 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......UP 4 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-76 PCT BELOW 5000 FEET...71-91 PCT ABOVE
5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
10000 FT MSL WIND...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-101 BELOW 5000 FEET...84-94 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PCT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.


Printable version of the Fire Weather Forecast

Fire Weather forecasts for all the surrounding areas
(clickable interactive map)

Fire Weather Graphics:

Red Flag Warning and Fire Weather Watch locations

Fire Danger adjective ratings

10-hour Fuel Moisture

100-hour Fuel Moisture

1000-hour Fuel Moisture

Tonto National Forest web-site

Fire and forest closure Information

Newsroom

SouthWest Coordination Center web-site

Incident Information

Large fire locator map

Morning Briefings

News and notes

Team and crew status

Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Pleasant Valley

Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Heber

Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Globe

Areawide Fire Weather Summary and Outlooks

GeoMac Online Fire Mapping

 

Local Observations:


Highway 260 Loop at Christopher Creek Bridge
Highway 260 Loop at the Bridge
Web Cam View from Christopher Creek

Current LOCAL observations:

As of 6:00pm on 7/8/08
Outside Temperature:
Comfort Index:
Winds:
Today's High:
Today's Lo:
Wind Chill / Heat Index::
Humidity:
Lo Humidity:
High Humidity:
Dewpoint:
Dewpoint Lo / Hi:
Wind Speed / Avg:
Wind Gusts:
Prevailing Wind Dir:
Barometer:
Rain Total Today:
Rain Last 24 Hours:
84.4°F
Warm
Calm
98.4°F at 2:12pm
55.9°F at 5:17am
84.4°F / 81.7°F
23%
8% at 1:53pm
80% at 7:50am
42.6°F
24.7°F / 57.6°F
0 / 1 mph from the NE
3 (up to 10)
22°
30.12 (Steady, -0.003)
0.00 inches
0.00 inches

Almanac

Sunrise:
Sunset:
Moonrise:
Moonset:
Moon Phase:
5:21am
7:40pm
11:23am
11:16pm
6

Yesterday

Low Temperature:
High Temperature:
Low Humidity :
High Humidity:
Low Dewpoint:
High Dewpoint:
Wind Directions:
High Wind  Speed
High Wind Gusts:
54.0°F at 5:50am
90.3°F at 1:45pm
22% at 2:55pm
90% at 8:02am
44.2°F at 1:09pm
61.1°F at 8:16am
0° to 357°
10 at 1:49pm
10 at 1:49pm

This Month

Low Temperature:
High Temperature:
Low Humidity :
High Humidity:
Low Dewpoint:
High Dewpoint:
Prevailing Wind Dir:
Average Wind  Speed
Average Wind Gusts:
Rain Total:
54.0°F on 7/7/08
98.4°F on 7/8/08
8% on 7/8/08
90% on 7/7/08
24.7°F on 7/8/08
64.4°F on 7/1/08
22°
0
2
0.39 inches

More local charts and statistics for Christopher Creek
provided by the Weather Underground:

This Week
This month
Past 3 months
Past 6 months
This year

Disclaimer
This weather site is still under development and there may be unknown errors in the data being displayed.!
While effort is made to ensure this information is valid, never make important decisions based on this information or any weather information obtained from the Internet

Local weather observations are brought to you
courtesy of ERA Young Realty..
through their kind donation of weather monitoring instrumentation


Christopher Creek Crossing View
Christopher Creek "CreekCam"
Web Cam View from Christopher Creek

Other Regional Observations:

Forest Lakes Fire Dept Fire Weather Page
Forest Lakes Weather Station
Heber Overgaard Weather
Mead Ranch Weather Station
Payson Weather

Area-Wide Interactive RAWS Weather Stations (Interactive Map)
NWS Interactive RAWS and SnoTel Stations (Interactive Map - hover mouse over crosshairs to find snowfall)
Precipitation Summary of all Sites
Full Summary of all Sites
  Chediski Peak Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Colcord Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Happy Jack Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  Heber Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  OW Saddle Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Payson Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Pleasant Valley Summary Ranger Station
    Charts and Statistics   Charts and Statistics
  Promontory Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  Red Lake Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Tonto Creek Fish Hatchery Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Workman Creek
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel

Other Weather Information:

NOAA Weather Radio Frequencies and Tower Locations for Arizona

NOAA Discussion on La Ninia an El Nino

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