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Fire Weather for the Northern Gila County Region

National Weather Service Observations:

Click here to enlarge the NWS-Flagstaff Radar Click here to enlarge the NWS IR Satellite View
Radar and IR Views from NWS

(Note: Any links provided here may
not necessarily apply to this portion of Gila County)

NWS Zone Forecast for: Northern Gila County, AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service Flagstaff, AZ
Last Update:
330 AM MST SAT JUL 31 2010

Flash Flood Watch
Hazardous Weather Outlook

Today...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms early in the morning...thunderstorms likely in the late morning and afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs 75 to 83. Light winds. Chance of thunderstorms 70 percent.
Tonight...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely in the evening...a chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows 58 to 66. Light winds. Chance of thunderstorms 70 percent.
Sunday...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms in the morning...cloudy with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs 75 to 85. Light winds. Chance of thunderstorms 70 percent.
Sunday Night...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening...partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows 59 to 67. Light winds. Chance of thunderstorms 50 percent.
Monday...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning...mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 80 to 88. Light winds. Chance of thunderstorms 50 percent.
Monday Night...Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 68.
Tuesday And Tuesday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Lows 60 to 68.
Wednesday And Wednesday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Lows 60 to 69.
Thursday And Thursday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Lows 60 to 69.
Friday...Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94.


Visit your local NWS office at: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz/


Click here for more local NWS Weather

NOAA Area Forecast Discussion:

FXUS65 KFGZ 311628
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
925 AM MST SAT JUL 31 2010

.SYNOPSIS... AN EXTREMELY MOIST AIR-MASS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.

.DISCUSSION... A VERY MOIST AIR-MASS REMAINS OVER AZ THIS MORNING. MORNING SOUNDING FROM BELLEMONT INDICATES 1.24 INCHES PRECIPITABLE WATER... DOWN SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY MAINLY DUE TO SLIGHTLY COOLER LOW LEVELS... BUT NEARLY SATURATED UP TO 450 MB. A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER NORTHWEST AZ WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS SEEN ON RADAR AROUND THIS FEATURE... ESPECIALLY FROM NEAR FLAGSTAFF SOUTH AND WESTWARD THROUGH MUCH OF YAVAPAI COUNTY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR ALL NORTHERN AZ ZONES AND THIS LOOKS GOOD. THUNDERSTORMS WILL INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND SPREAD THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AZ AGAIN. IN SUMMARY... ANOTHER VERY WET DAY ACROSS NORTHERN AZ ON TAP WITH LOCALLY TORRENTIAL RAIN IN THUNDERSTORMS AND A STRONG THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES PLANNED THIS MORNING.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION/320 AM MST/... VERY HIGH PW VALUES AND WEAK FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NEAR TUCSON WILL BECOME A FOCAL POINT FOR CONVECTION TODAY AND TOMORROW AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST. THERE COULD BE SOME MCS ACTIVITY TONIGHT OR SUNDAY NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE AS WELL. SATURATED GROUND AND CONTINUED HIGH RAINFALL RATES JUSTIFY THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT IS CURRENTLY OUT. THIS WILL BE THE SITUATION FOR A FEW MORE DAYS... BEFORE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BEGINS TO SCOUR OUT THE DEEPER MOISTURE BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK. THIS IS BY NO MEANS A SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND... JUST A RETURN TO MORE OF A MODERATE MONSOONAL PATTERN... INSTEAD OF THE CURRENT HIGH-END SCENARIO THAT WE HAVE BEEN UNDER FOR DAYS.



.AVIATION... FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE... SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA ACROSS ALL NRN AZ TODAY AND THIS EVENING. VERY HEAVY RAIN... AREAS MVFR... LOCAL IFR AND LIFR CONDITIONS AND GUSTY AND VARIABLE SFC WINDS NEAR TSRA. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST ZONES UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY MORNING. PUBLIC... ... .DJO
AVIATION... ..

VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION.


Printable version of the detailed area forecast

NOAA Fire Weather Forecast:


FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
548 AM MST SAT JUL 31 2010

+++ THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS +++

+++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++
+

.DISCUSSION...ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS AND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
ALOFT WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY AND SUNDAY.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.


AZZ118-010100-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG
548 AM MST SAT JUL 31 2010

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-88 BELOW 5000 FEET...73-81 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......DOWN 6 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PCT BELOW 5000 FEET...56-66 PCT ABOVE
5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......UP 16 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
10000 FT MSL WIND...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....70 PERCENT.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
EVENING...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-71 BELOW 5000 FEET...56-63 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......DOWN 3 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-100 PCT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
10000 FT MSL WIND...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....70 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-90 BELOW 5000 FEET...73-82 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PCT BELOW 5000 FEET...49-59 PCT ABOVE
5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......DOWN 4 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
10000 FT MSL WIND...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....70 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.


Printable version of the Fire Weather Forecast

Fire Weather forecasts for all the surrounding areas
(clickable interactive map)

Fire Weather Graphics:

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Areawide Fire Weather Summary and Outlooks

GeoMac Online Fire Mapping

 

Local Observations:

Current LOCAL observations:

As of 10:45am on 7/31/10
Outside Temperature:
Comfort Index:
Winds:
Today's High:
Today's Lo:
Wind Chill / Heat Index::
Humidity:
Lo Humidity:
High Humidity:
Dewpoint:
Dewpoint Lo / Hi:
Wind Speed / Avg:
Wind Gusts:
Prevailing Wind Dir:
Barometer:
Rain Total Today:
Rain Last 24 Hours:
77.4°F
Comfortable
Calm
77.5°F at 10:37am
62.1°F at 3:44am
77.4°F / 78.4°F
52%
50% at 10:40am
93% at 1:12am
58.4°F
57.2°F / 64.0°F
0 / 0 mph from the SSE
1 (up to 4)
158°
30.27 (Steady, 0.000)
0.00 inches
0.20 inches

Almanac

Sunrise:
Sunset:
Moonrise:
Moonset:
Moon Phase:
5:36am
7:28pm
10:07pm
10:42am
20

Yesterday

Low Temperature:
High Temperature:
Low Humidity :
High Humidity:
Low Dewpoint:
High Dewpoint:
Wind Directions:
High Wind  Speed
High Wind Gusts:
64.2°F at 2:59am
85.5°F at 11:05am
37% at 10:49am
92% at 11:43pm
54.6°F at 10:09am
65.9°F at 4:21pm
1° to 353°
6 at 12:00pm
6 at 12:00pm

This Month

Low Temperature:
High Temperature:
Low Humidity :
High Humidity:
Low Dewpoint:
High Dewpoint:
Prevailing Wind Dir:
Average Wind  Speed
Average Wind Gusts:
Rain Total:
51.3°F on 7/5/10
100.4°F on 7/20/10
7% on 7/6/10
95% on 7/24/10
17.0°F on 7/6/10
71.1°F on 7/15/10
158°
0
2
5.04 inches

More local charts and statistics for Christopher Creek
provided by the Weather Underground:

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Disclaimer
Information may be out of date or inaccurate. Never make important decisions based on this information without full consideration of available information resources.

Local weather observations are brought to you
courtesy of ERA Young Realty..
through their kind donation of weather monitoring instrumentation


(Highway 260 Loop Cam is currently out for service)
Web Cam View from Christopher Creek

Other Regional Observations:

Forest Lakes Weather Station
Heber Overgaard Weather
Mead Ranch Weather Station
Payson Weather

Area-Wide Interactive RAWS Weather Stations (Interactive Map)
NWS Interactive RAWS and SnoTel Stations (Interactive Map - hover mouse over crosshairs to find snowfall)
Precipitation Summary of all Sites
Full Summary of all Sites
  Chediski Peak Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Colcord Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Happy Jack Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  Heber Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  OW Saddle Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Payson Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Pleasant Valley Summary Ranger Station
    Charts and Statistics   Charts and Statistics
  Promontory Summary
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel
  Red Lake Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Tonto Creek Fish Hatchery Summary
    Charts and Statistics
  Workman Creek
    Charts and Statistics Snotel Snotel

Other Weather Information:

NOAA Weather Radio Frequencies and Tower Locations for Arizona

NOAA Discussion on La Ninia an El Nino

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