National Weather Service Observations:
Radar and IR Views from NWS
(Note: Any links provided here may
not necessarily apply to this portion of Gila County)
NWS Forecast for:
Northern Gila County
Issued by: National Weather Service Flagstaff, AZ
Last Update:
330 AM MST FRI MAY 24 2013
Today: Sunny. Highs 79 to 89. Light and variable winds... Becoming southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Tonight: Clear. Lows 46 to 56. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph early in the evening...becoming light and variable.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 79 to 89. Light and variable winds...becoming southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Southwest winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the evening...becoming light and variable.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 77 to 87. Light and variable winds...becoming southwest around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night And Memorial Day: Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 76 to 86.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 46 to 56.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms and showers. Highs 70 to 80.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms and rain showers. Highs 68 to 78.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 53.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 74 to 84.
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NOAA Area Forecast Discussion:
FXUS65 KFGZ 241659
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
955 AM MST FRI MAY 24 2013
.SYNOPSIS... A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE SOUTHWEST BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
.DISCUSSION... A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINNING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND RIDGING ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. IS KEEPING AZ IN A DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN. THIS WILL CONTINUE RIGHT ON THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS. CURRENT FORECAST IS IN GREAT SHAPE WITH NO MORNING UPDATES NEEDED.
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION (330 AM MST)... A LARGE CLOSED LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SIT OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY... WITH VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THIS PATTERN WILL PRODUCE A BREEZY SOUTHWEST FLOW AND LOW HUMIDITIES IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR LATE MAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND... WITH INCREASING CLOUDS FOR MEMORIAL DAY AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING TROUGH. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TREND TOWARD A TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE REGION FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE DEPTH/TIMING OF THE SYSTEM... BUT THERE IS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO TO INCLUDE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FOR MOST AREAS TUE/WED. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THOSE DAYS ARE NEAR 10 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.
.AVIATION... FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE... EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER OCCASIONAL HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-30KTS FROM THE SW FROM 17Z-02Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
.FIRE WEATHER... A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... BRINGING MORE BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND SATURDAY. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS OVER A LARGE AREA OR A PERSISTENT AMOUNT OF TIME. HOWEVER... SOME LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE BRIEF PERIODS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 PERCENT... WITH ONLY MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES AND WILL ALLOW BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST AND APPROACH ARIZONA ON TUESDAY... BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE.
PUBLIC... ... ... MCS/JJ
AVIATION... ... .PETERSON
FIRE WEATHER... PETERSON
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
Printable version of the detailed area forecast
NOAA Fire Weather Forecast:
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
349 AM MST FRI MAY 24 2013
+++ THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS +++
+++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++
+
.DISCUSSION...A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS
THE WESTERN STATES BRINGING A CONTINUATION OF BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS
AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND SATURDAY.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THE TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE WESTERN STATES AND ALLOW BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CONTINUE
ALONG WITH VERY LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.
THE TROUGH FINALLY MOVES EAST AND APPROACHES ARIZONA ON TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND LIGHTNING.
AZZ118-250100-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG
349 AM MST FRI MAY 24 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-93 BELOW 5000 FEET...78-88 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-58 BELOW 5000 FEET...40-50 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT BELOW 5000 FEET...27-37 PERCENT
ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-93 BELOW 5000 FEET...78-88 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING
SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 80 TO 90. LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 78 TO 88. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 73 TO 83. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
Printable version of the Fire Weather Forecast
Fire Weather forecasts for all the surrounding areas
(clickable interactive map)
Fire Weather Graphics:
Red Flag Warning and Fire Weather Watch locations
Fire Danger adjective ratings
10-hour Fuel Moisture
100-hour Fuel Moisture
1000-hour Fuel Moisture
Tonto National Forest web-site
Fire and forest closure Information
Newsroom
SouthWest Coordination Center web-site
Incident Information
Large fire locator map
Morning Briefings
News and notes
Team and crew status
Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Pleasant Valley
Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Heber
Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Globe
Areawide Fire Weather Summary and Outlooks
GeoMac Online Fire Mapping
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Local Observations:
Red Flag Warning is in effect until further notice
Other Regional Observations:
Forest Lakes Weather Station
Heber Overgaard Weather
Mead Ranch Weather Station
Payson Weather
Other Weather Information:
NOAA Weather Radio Frequencies and Tower Locations for Arizona
NOAA Discussion on La Ninia an El Nino
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