National Weather Service Observations:
Radar and IR Views from NWS
(Note: Any links provided here may
not necessarily apply to this portion of Gila County)
NWS Forecast for:
Northern Gila County
Issued by: National Weather Service Flagstaff, AZ
Last Update:
2:03 am MST Jun 19, 2013
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Today: Sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 48. Southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 85. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 15 to 20 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 49. Southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 85. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 12 to 17 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 87.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low arou
Click here for more local NWS Weather
NOAA Area Forecast Discussion:
FXUS65 KFGZ 191052
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
340 AM MST WED JUN 19 2013
.SYNOPSIS... EXPECT WARM AND VERY DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS EACH AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY... WITH DRY WEATHER ELSEWHERE.
.DISCUSSION...
FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN TODAY. SURFACE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING HAVE OCCASIONALLY JUMPED TO 20 MPH ACROSS WESTERN AZ IN RESPONSE TO THE FRONT. SURFACE HUMIDITIES ARE BELOW 25 PERCENT ACROSS
NEARLY ALL THE AREA THIS MORNING. WE HAVE MADE FEW CHANGES TO THE EXISTING FORECAST AND EXPECT INCREASING WIND SPEEDS TODAY... WITH SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING. THE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITIES TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND TODAYS RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. THE START TIME WAS MOVED UP TO 10 AM MST. ON THURSDAY... WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE NORTHLAND ARE EXPECTED TO BE A FEW MPH SLOWER THAN TODAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SEE PRODUCT RFWFGZ FOR DETAILS. ASIDE FROM SMOKE... THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE SKY COVER ACROSS THE AREA FROM TODAY THROUGH SUNRISE FRIDAY. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE. TODAYS PROGS ARE NO LONGER SHOWING A MOISTURE SEEP INTO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WERE REMOVED. WE DO EXPECT PERIODIC CIRRUS CLOUD COVER WITH AFTERNOON MAX TEMPS ABOUT 2 TO 4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL VALUES. MONDAY AND TUESDAY... PROGS HAVE SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING TO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA AND SHOW INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INTO SOUTHERN APACHE COUNTY. THUS WENT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE IT IS MORE DRY AND STABLE SOUTHWEST FLOW. AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL VALUES.
.AVIATION... FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE... EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS... EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF A WILDFIRE WEST OF KPRC WHERE LOCAL VSBY REDUCTIONS ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS S-SW INCREASING TO 15-25KT WITH GUSTS TO 35KT AFTER 15Z... DECREASING AFTER 03Z THURSDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. .FIRE WEATHER...
VERY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TODAY AND THURSDAY... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH... WARM TEMPERATURES... AND SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY. HAINES INDICES OF 5 AND 6 ARE ALSO EXPECTED. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS EACH AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS APPROACH CRITICAL VALUES IN THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST FOR AZZ104>108-111>117-139-140.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR AZZ104>107-111>117-139-140.
PUBLIC... ... ... DL
AVIATION... ... .KD
FIRE WEATHER... KD
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
Printable version of the detailed area forecast
NOAA Fire Weather Forecast:
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
303 AM MST WED JUN 19 2013
...RED FLAG WARNING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MST
THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA...
+++ THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS +++
+++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++
+
.DISCUSSION...
VERY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. TODAY AND THURSDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 30
TO 40 MPH...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY. HAINES INDICES OF 5 AND 6 ARE
ALSO EXPECTED.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS EACH
AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS APPROACH CRITICAL VALUES IN THE LITTLE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
AZZ118-200100-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 118)-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG
303 AM MST WED JUN 19 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-100 BELOW 5000 FEET...86-96 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........6 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-62 BELOW 5000 FEET...48-58 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 40
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-99 BELOW 5000 FEET...85-95 ABOVE 5000 FEET.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
10000 FT MSL WIND...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 87 TO 97. LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 87 TO 97. LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 90 TO 100. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
Printable version of the Fire Weather Forecast
Fire Weather forecasts for all the surrounding areas
(clickable interactive map)
Fire Weather Graphics:
Red Flag Warning and Fire Weather Watch locations
Fire Danger adjective ratings
10-hour Fuel Moisture
100-hour Fuel Moisture
1000-hour Fuel Moisture
Tonto National Forest web-site
Fire and forest closure Information
Newsroom
SouthWest Coordination Center web-site
Incident Information
Large fire locator map
Morning Briefings
News and notes
Team and crew status
Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Pleasant Valley
Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Heber
Energy Relase Component (ERC) Chart
for Globe
Areawide Fire Weather Summary and Outlooks
GeoMac Online Fire Mapping
|
